Abstract In the past two years of adjustment of the photovoltaic industry, the US PV market has been recovering. The profitability of domestic PV companies has also turned better. Looking forward to the foreseeable future, what is the supply and demand of the industry? This round of adjustment is accompanied by
    In the past two years of adjustment of the photovoltaic industry, the US PV market has been recovering. The profitability of domestic PV companies has also turned better. Looking forward to the foreseeable future, what is the supply and demand of the industry? 
    The United States, China, Japan and other emerging markets continue to introduce policies to support the development of the photovoltaic industry. From 2013, the demand for photovoltaic installations in these emerging markets may increase significantly. Under this influence, the supply and demand structure of the global PV market is about to reverse.
US: Ten Thousand Roof Plan
While traditional markets are experiencing a decline in demand due to subsidy cuts, emerging markets such as the United States are experiencing huge demand, and the United States has become the fastest growing PV market in recent years, with new installed capacity from 2010 to 2012. It is 0.9 GW, 1.9 GW, and 3.3 GW (expected value).
According to the “Photovoltaic Industry Circuit Map for 2030†formulated by the United States, it plans to “invest in domestic technology and market, expand domestic demand, and drive significant growth in the industryâ€. The plan sets a grand goal of 20GW cumulative installed capacity in 2030, equivalent to annual The newly installed capacity is 11GW.
At the same time, although the US 1603 financial subsidy program was terminated on December 31, 2011, the subsidy program has been underway for three years, and the program has already supported the development of a large number of solar photovoltaic and solar thermal projects in the United States. Instead, the Ten Thousand Roofs Program, which will invest $250 million in the program from 2012, will invest $500 million a year in solar roofing plans from 2013 to 2021. From 2012 to 2021, according to the capacity of a family of 3KW ~ 5KW, the total installed capacity is 30GW ~ 50GW, the financial subsidy method is 50% of the net investment of the project, the initial stage subsidy is 1.75 US dollars / W, and by 2018 is about 0.5 US dollar / W. . As a superpower and the world's most energy-consuming country, the United States has implemented a series of measures to protect the development of its photovoltaic industry, such as investment tax relief programs and loan guarantees. The newly added 10 million solar roof plan is the largest new policy with the highest subsidy level so far, and it is a declaration with clear attitude to support the development of the photovoltaic industry. It is expected that the market will explode in the next few years, and the United States will become the most important and fastest growing market in the world.
China: Installed capacity is raised to 35GW
In recent years, the Chinese government has continued to introduce policies to support the development of the photovoltaic industry, especially by the United States and the European Union, and the government's support for photovoltaics is even greater.
In mid-July this year, the State Council issued the "Several Opinions on Promoting the Healthy Development of the Photovoltaic Industry" (hereinafter referred to as the "Opinions"). The "Opinions" show that the installed capacity adjustment of China's photovoltaic 12th Five-Year Plan has been fixed, from 21GW to 35GW. In fact, this is the fourth adjustment of the development goal of China's photovoltaic industry. The original goal of the 12th Five-Year Plan for PV is 5GW, which is affected by the adjustment of medium and long-term development planning of nuclear power, and the target is raised to 10GW. Later, due to the downgrade of FIT in Europe and the “double opposition†in Europe and the United States, the National Energy Administration raised the target twice to 21 GW in the “12th Five-Year Planâ€. In order to support the domestic photovoltaic industry to survive the harsh winter, the National Energy Administration proposed the 2015 35GW installation target in early 2013, but no official documents confirmed. The “35GW installed target†will be launched to enhance the certainty of the rapid growth of domestic PV installations, fully reflecting the government's attitude and determination to support the PV industry.
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