2013 will promote the development of new chemical materials

Last year, the economic operation of the petroleum and chemical industries was affected by factors such as overcapacity, high financial costs, and unsatisfactory exports, and the overall efficiency of the industry was declining. In 2013, the entire industry must improve the quality and efficiency of economic operations and maintain a steady and healthy development of the entire industry.

I. Analysis of the operation of the industry in 2012 The economic operation overcomes downward pressure and gradually stabilizes and picks up. In 2012, the added value of the petroleum and chemical industries increased by 8.29% year-on-year, of which the chemical industry increased by 12.1%; the enterprises above the designated size of the whole industry realized a total of 11.85 trillion yuan in main business income, an increase of 10.9%, of which the chemical industry was 7.08 trillion yuan. It grew by 12.7%; the number of employees was 6.8 million, an increase of 3.1%.

The economic operation of the industry showed a trend of stabilization and recovery. According to the statistics of the Petrochemical Federation, the total output value of the industry continued to fall in the first seven months of 2012, reaching a minimum growth rate of 4.2% in July. It accelerated month after month in August and increased in the same period in November. It reached 16.1%; from the quarterly output value point of view, the growth rate was 16.1% in the first quarter, 9.5% in the second quarter, 7.4% in the third quarter, and 15.3% in the fourth quarter.

The output of the two main products kept growing, and the selling price of some products was larger. In 2012, the total output of major chemicals reached 459 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%. The growth of most products has been stable, and the output of agrochemical products has grown rapidly, which has played a positive role in safeguarding national food security. The annual crude oil output was 207 million tons, an increase of 1.9%; natural gas production was 106.71 billion cubic meters, an increase of 6.7%; crude oil processing volume was 468 million tons, an increase of 3.7%; refined oil processing volume was 282 million tons, an increase of 5.5%; ethylene production was 14.868 million tons. Ton, an increase of -2.5%; methanol production 26,403,000 tons, an increase of 15.1%; pesticides off 100%, chemical fertilizer production, respectively, to reach 3.549 million tons and 74,324 tons, an increase of 19.0%, respectively, 10.9%,

From the perspective of the price trend throughout the year, the uptrend showed a trend of slowing down, but it gradually stabilized. After entering the fourth quarter, prices have shown signs of warming, but some large varieties such as basic inorganic materials, organic chemical raw materials, synthetic resins and other market prices are still large, prices of soda ash, calcium carbide, methanol, PVC, phosphate fertilizer and other products have long been The history is low.

The tertiary industry structure and regional structure were further optimized. In 2012, the output value of synthetic materials and organic chemical raw materials manufacturing industry accounted for 18.2% and 16.3% of the chemical industry respectively, an increase of 1.6 and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year; the output of all-steel radial tires exceeded 70 million, and the radialization rate reached 87.4%. 0.3%; ion-exchange membrane caustic soda accounted for 85.1% of caustic soda production, an increase of 4 percentage points.

In 2012, the output value of the eastern, central and western regions increased by 11.7%, 11.8%, and 14.4%, respectively. The growth rate in the central and western regions was relatively fast, with the growth rates of Ningxia, Guangxi, and Inner Mongolia reaching 62%, 31.1%, and 20%, respectively; The proportion of output value continued to rise, reaching 38.4%, up 0.3% year-on-year.

Fourth, investment has maintained rapid growth and corporate profits have declined significantly. According to statistics from the Petrochemical Federation, in 2012, the industry completed 1.76 trillion yuan in fixed asset investment, an increase of 23.1%, 2.5 percentage points higher than the national growth rate, and basically the same as in 2011. Among them, the investment in technology-intensive industries increased significantly, the investment in synthetic materials increased by 54.5%, the organic chemical materials increased by 60.1%, which was much higher than the average increase in investment in the chemical industry by 27.9%; the growth rate of private investment accelerated, with an increase of 46.3%, accounting for the entire The proportion of the industry was 25.4%, an increase of 17 and 4 percentage points respectively from the previous year.

In 2012, the total profit of the industry was 798 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, of which chemical industry was 384.89 billion yuan, down 4% year-on-year. From the quarterly perspective of industry efficiency, the first quarter decreased by 15.0% year-on-year, the second quarter decreased by 15.8%, the third quarter narrowed to 5.5%, and the fourth quarter achieved a positive growth of 25.6%. Among them, the refining industry profit of 360 million yuan, profit in the month of December, reversed 16 consecutive months of losses; synthetic fiber single loss of 530 million yuan, a profit of 12.42 billion yuan in the same period last year; phosphate fertilizer industry profits fell by 25%, synthetic material manufacturing decreased by 25.4 %, information chemicals manufacturing decreased by 86.9%.

Fifth, the foreign trade deficit has widened, and foreign dependence has further increased. According to customs statistics, in 2012, the total import and export volume of the industry reached US$ 637.594 billion, an increase of 5.1%, accounting for 16.5% of the national import and export trade. Among them, the total value of imports was 46,400.1 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 6.7%; the total export value was 173.59 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 0.8%; the cumulative deficit was 290.42 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 10.6% year-on-year.

Among the imported products, oil and gas, chemical ore are still the main factors, and the dependence on oil and gas is further increased. In 2012, imports of crude oil were 271 million tons, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year, and the foreign dependency was 56.4%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year; imported natural gas was 40.77 billion cubic meters, an increase of 29.9%, and the foreign dependency was 26.2%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points; The chemical mine was 12.289 million tons, an increase of 14.9%.

Among the export products, rubber products accounted for the largest proportion, accounting for 25.3% of the total exports of the industry. The export value of rubber products was US$43.87 billion, an increase of 7.2% year-on-year, and the amount of chemical fertilizer exports was 18.14 million tons, a decrease of 3.3%.

The main problems in the operation of the six industries. In 2012, although the economic growth of the industry achieved steady growth, the growth rate declined, the growth of the main business cost of the industry was 1.8 percentage points higher than that of the main business, the financial expenses increased by 40.8% year-on-year, the cost remained high, and the economic benefit was reduced. Big. The reasons for this are mainly the increasing downward pressure on the economy and the weakening of internal and external needs; the lack of independent innovation capability and the lack of new investment growth points; the surplus industries are still expanding their production capacity, and the homogenized product market is fiercely competitive. According to statistics of professional associations, by the end of 2012, China’s urea production capacity will be over 18 million tons; phosphate fertilizer production capacity will exceed domestic demand by more than 10 million tons; chlor-alkali industry annual plant utilization will be about 70%, and PVC plant utilization will be about 60%. The methanol plant operating rate of about 50%; calcium carbide industry added capacity of about 4 million tons, far more than the annual elimination of 1.27 million tons of production capacity, equipment utilization of about 76%.

II. Prospects for 2013 In 2013, the international economic situation remains complex and changeable. The world economy will continue to grow at a low rate. The domestic market has great potential, the social productivity is well-grounded, and the favorable conditions for the long-term growth of the fundamentals of economic and social development have not changed. The Central Economic Work Conference put forward six tasks to strengthen and improve macroeconomic regulation and control and promote the sustainable and healthy economic development in 2013. It also emphasized that we must continue to grasp the overall keynote of stability and progress, adhere to the expansion of domestic demand, and do a good job of “three rural issues”. Work to promote the integration of urban and rural development, the implementation of national innovation strategy, increase structural adjustment efforts, efforts to protect and improve people's livelihood, play a key role of investment in economic growth, comprehensively deepen the reform, and enhance the open economy.

It is expected that in 2013, the domestic consumer market will continue to grow steadily. The market demand for energy and major bulk chemical products will accelerate. Technical upgrading and upgrading of traditional industries and investment in strategic emerging industries will continue to increase, and investment in the entire industry will remain. Faster growth. Overall, in 2013, the economic operation of the petroleum and chemical industries will generally remain stable, and the recovery will be further consolidated. In the first half of the year, there is still downward pressure.

III. Key Tasks for 2013 The management of the petrochemical chemical industry in 2013 should fully implement the spirit of the Party's political work conference and the central economic work conference. It should be guided by the scientific concept of development and be the main line for transforming the mode of economic development through planning, policies and standards. Such measures as guiding industry innovation-driven, structural adjustment, energy conservation and emission reduction, elimination of backwardness, elimination of excess capacity, good management of source chemicals and system construction, improvement of economic operation quality and efficiency, promotion of industrial transformation and upgrading, and promotion of petrochemical chemical industry greening Low-carbon and comprehensive sustainable development.

First, strengthen planning guidance and do a good job in technological transformation. We will continue to implement the “Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for Petrochemicals and Chemical Industry” and proceed with the mid-term evaluation of the plan. According to the "12th Five-Year Plan" industry development plan and changes in the new situation, study and formulate key points, directions and areas for technological transformation of enterprises, and encourage enterprises to implement technological upgrading in terms of quality improvement, scientific and technological innovation, energy saving and emission reduction, safe production, and integration of the two aspects. Resolve a batch of excess capacity.

Secondly, promote the system construction and strengthen the industry access management. We will promote the implementation of the GHS, a global classification and labeling system for chemicals, and improve the hazard disclosure system for chemicals. Carry out the construction of a green tire marking system to improve the tire industry management level and product quality. Further implement the management system for the production and construction of chromium compounds and strengthen the management before and during the event to prevent chromium slag pollution at the source. We will improve the pesticide production license management system, increase the concentration of the pesticide industry, and further increase the proportion of high-efficiency, low-toxic, and low-residue pesticides. Standardize the conditions for the construction of chemical parks and improve the main role of chemical parks in promoting the agglomeration, intensive and environmentally friendly development of chemical industry.

Third, do a good job of air pollution prevention and control to promote the sustainable development of the industry. Strengthen the revision of industry standards, standardize corporate behavior through market access standards, improve access standards such as product quality, technology, energy consumption and environmental protection, standardize corporate investment and business operations, and eliminate a number of outdated production capacities. In accordance with the overall arrangements for the prevention and control of air pollution, the government strengthened access to the industry, promoted cleaner production processes, strengthened source and process management, reduced “three wastes” and carbon dioxide emissions, actively promoted and promoted responsible care, and promoted green and low-carbon development in the industry.

Fourth, strengthen agricultural security and ensure the supply of chemical fertilizers and pesticides. Strengthen the monitoring of the production and operation of the fertilizer and pesticide industries, combine the actual production of agriculture, stabilize production and ensure supply. Actively help enterprises to implement the external conditions necessary for production and operation. Actively study the chemical fertilizer reserve system, improve the reserve structure, and promote the establishment of a reserve mechanism based on production enterprises. Accelerate the implementation of access conditions for the synthetic ammonia and ammonium phosphate industry, resolve the contradiction of excess production capacity, and promote the healthy development of the nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer industry.

Fifth, implement the strategy of scientific and technological innovation to promote the development of new chemical materials. Formulate and publish the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Healthy Development of the Carbon Fiber Industry," "Fluid Chemical Industry Policy," and related policies to support the development of membrane materials. Through policy support and guidance, a batch of chemical new material companies will be promoted to further improve product quality and grades and enhance their international competitiveness.

Sixth, strengthen investigations and studies to improve the quality of the economic operation of the industry. Work closely with industry associations to actively monitor the operation of the industry, identify and solve problems in the economic operation of the industry in a timely manner, and improve the quality and effectiveness of operations. Efforts will be made to maintain fair trade, create a favorable market environment, import and export environment, expand domestic demand, digest a batch of excess capacity, and increase resource support capabilities. Strengthen the investigation and research of titanium dioxide, chemical industry parks, tire signs, chemical new materials and other industries, and actively carry out research on hotspots, difficulties, and forward-looking issues in the industry.