The commercialization of shale gas is still waiting for the development of a bee

The second round of bidding for shale gas has aroused great enthusiasm for private enterprises, but it is necessary to know that shale gas development is a “hard bone” after the fever. Recently, at the China (Sichuan) oil and gas industry development and local economic win-win forum held by Southwest Petroleum University, experts at the conference said that the commercialization of shale gas requires a process, and the government must accelerate the process of developing shale gas. Prevent shale gas from developing hot foam. Opportunities and challenges coexist. “The situation of overheating of natural gas and shale gas should be prevented; many investments may feel that this is a piece of fat, but when it is found to be a bone, it will quickly withdraw.” China Petroleum Economic and Technological Research Liu Keyu, a senior economist at the hospital, believes that the development of shale gas has gone through 30 years in the United States alone; and a well-established pipeline system has been built. However, China's natural gas pipelines are mainly trunk pipeline networks. After shale gas is discovered and produced, it is necessary to calculate the pipeline cost. It is understood that China's current gas supply network mainly consists of the main pipeline network such as the West-East Gas Pipeline, the Sichuan-East Gas Transmission, and the Shaanxi-Beijing Line System. By the end of 2011, the total length of natural gas pipelines exceeded 50,000 kilometers, and the total gas transmission capacity exceeded. 160 billion people a year. It is estimated that by 2015, the total mileage of the pipe network will reach 90,000 kilometers. In fact, the industry is optimistic about the important role of natural gas development in the future energy structure transformation, but to increase the self-sufficiency of natural gas, the main potential is shale gas, and the commercialization of shale gas requires a process. Chen Weidong, chief energy researcher of China National Offshore Oil Corporation, is very optimistic that the country will open shale gas development to the market. “The second bidding for shale gas attracted 83 companies. This kind of enthusiasm is something I have never seen before.” He admits that the 20 shale gas blocks actually used for bidding are not very good. The high enthusiasm fully demonstrates that this form of marketization is too late. The next decade is the key. In fact, it is not difficult to develop shale gas technology. The key is to compete with conventional gas in business. "If you want to mine the poor mines and compete with the rich mines, the key is to have high-efficiency system support, and the US system is the most efficient." Chen Weidong said. With the advent of the shale gas revolution, the proportion of gas power in the United States has increased, and the share of coal power has dropped from over 50% to 36%. Chen Weidong said that compared with the United States, 70% of China's energy structure relies on coal. If the adjustment is not accelerated, the unmatched energy structure will affect social conflicts. Professor Kang Yili from the New Energy Research Center of Southwest Petroleum University believes that the total recoverable resources of tight gas, coalbed methane and shale gas in China are estimated to be 29 trillion to 36 trillion cubic meters. The next 5 to 10 years is unconventional in China. The critical period of natural gas development. The development of shale gas is promising, and it is necessary to work through solid work to transform resource advantages into production advantages as early as possible. According to the “12th Five-Year” development plan for shale gas, the national shale gas resource potential survey and evaluation will be completed by 2015, and a number of shale gas exploration and development zones will be built to achieve large-scale production, and shale gas production will reach 65. Billion cubic meters / year. China Petroleum Economics and Technology Research Institute predicts that by 2030, China's natural gas demand will be around 500 billion cubic meters. Liu Keyu believes that in the expansion of the natural gas market, in addition to urban gas, there is great prospect in the automotive field, especially LNG vehicles are worthy of attention; while in the industrial sector, more performance will be replaced by gas; the driving force in power generation is mainly Peak power generation.

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